{"id":10403,"date":"2026-03-03T09:29:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T02:29:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/?p=10403"},"modified":"2026-03-03T09:30:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T02:30:52","slug":"escalating-geopolitical-risks-in-the-middle-east-have-driven-up-acrylonitrile-prices-boosted-by-cost-factors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/escalating-geopolitical-risks-in-the-middle-east-have-driven-up-acrylonitrile-prices-boosted-by-cost-factors\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb leo thang t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 acrylonitrile t\u0103ng l\u00ean, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 chi ph\u00ed."},"content":{"rendered":"

Gi\u1edbi thi\u1ec7u: Sau T\u1ebft Nguy\u00ean \u0111\u00e1n, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng acrylonitrile n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y v\u00e0 ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 chi ph\u00ed. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng gia t\u0103ng, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 propylene qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u0103ng l\u00ean, khi\u1ebfn \u00e1p l\u1ef1c chi ph\u00ed c\u1ee7a acrylonitrile ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gia t\u0103ng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n. H\u00f4m nay, to\u00e0n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 200 NDT\/t\u1ea5n. T\u1ea1i S\u01a1n \u0110\u00f4ng, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p ch\u00ednh ch\u00e0o gi\u00e1 giao ngay \u1edf m\u1ee9c 7.300 NDT\/t\u1ea5n (gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t x\u01b0\u1edfng), trong khi gi\u00e1 t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c c\u1ea3ng Hoa \u0110\u00f4ng c\u0169ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean 7.600\u20137.700 NDT\/t\u1ea5n. X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch b\u1ea3o tr\u00ec nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I. Cost factors drive a rebound in acrylonitrile prices.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb qu\u00fd IV n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, m\u1ee9c thua l\u1ed7 trong s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t acrylonitrile t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng l\u00ean tr\u00ean 1.000 NDT\/t\u1ea5n v\u00e0 ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n khi b\u01b0\u1edbc sang n\u0103m 2026. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, gi\u00e1 acrylonitrile \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c, d\u01b0\u1edbi 7.000 NDT\/t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thua l\u1ed7 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch d\u1eebng m\u00e1y ho\u1eb7c b\u1ea3o tr\u00ec sau T\u1ebft Nguy\u00ean \u0111\u00e1n. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, Fushun Petrochemical \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eebng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng, CNOOC Fudao d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn d\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o tr\u00ec kho\u1ea3ng 25 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 3, v\u00e0 Korur s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ea1i tu t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 6. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 Sirbon v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh \u1edf m\u1ee9c t\u1ea3i th\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi nhu c\u1ea7u sau k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 d\u1ea7n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa ngu\u1ed3n cung th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c chi ph\u00ed gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So s\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 chu\u1ed7i ng\u00e0nh acrylonitrile Trung Qu\u1ed1c (\u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb: NDT\/t\u1ea5n)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m<\/strong><\/td>Khu v\u1ef1c<\/strong><\/td>2026\/3\/2<\/strong><\/td>2026\/2\/28<\/strong><\/td>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb thay \u0111\u1ed5i<\/strong><\/td>Chuy\u1ec3n bi\u1ebfn<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Propylene<\/td>S\u01a1n \u0110\u00f4ng<\/td>6620<\/td>6410<\/td>210<\/td>3.28%<\/td><\/tr>
Amoniac t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p<\/td>S\u01a1n \u0110\u00f4ng<\/td>2096<\/td>2096<\/td>0<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
Acrylonitrile<\/td>Khu v\u1ef1c c\u1ea3ng Hoa \u0110\u00f4ng<\/td>7650<\/td>7500<\/td>150<\/td>2.00%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Th\u00f4ng tin Longzhong<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00ecnh 1: Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 so s\u00e1nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o acrylonitrile n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2025\u20132026 (\u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb: NDT\/t\u1ea5n)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Th\u00f4ng tin Longzhong<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00ecnh 2: Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t acrylonitrile giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2025\u20132026 (\u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb: NDT\/t\u1ea5n)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Th\u00f4ng tin Longzhong<\/p>\n\n\n\n

II. \u1ea2nh h\u01b0\u1edfng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u acrylonitrile trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u acrylonitrile c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng qua t\u1eebng n\u0103m, tuy nhi\u00ean ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. N\u0103m 2025, Trung Qu\u1ed1c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 311.000 t\u1ea5n acrylonitrile, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kho\u1ea3ng 8,4%. Trong \u0111\u00f3, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang \u1ea2 R\u1eadp X\u00ea \u00dat \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 16.000 t\u1ea5n, chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 5,1%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u acrylonitrile. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1ec1 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0 chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n gia t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c l\u00e2n c\u1eadn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00ecnh 3: Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 so s\u00e1nh s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u acrylonitrile c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c theo \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebfn (2021\u20132025) (\u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb: v\u1ea1n t\u1ea5n)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Th\u00f4ng tin Longzhong<\/p>\n\n\n\n

III. Ngu\u1ed3n cung ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chi ph\u1ed1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 acrylonitrile trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb ph\u00eda chi ph\u00ed \u0111ang t\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 acrylonitrile t\u0103ng l\u00ean, tuy nhi\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y v\u1eabn d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ngu\u1ed3n cung s\u1ebd suy gi\u1ea3m trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. L\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m trung gian h\u00f3a ch\u1ea5t, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u00e1p l\u1ef1c chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi acrylonitrile ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n h\u00f3a th\u00e0nh nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf trong s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba t\u0103ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u00e1n c\u00e2n cung \u2013 c\u1ea7u, do nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u1edf ph\u00eda ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Introduction: After the Spring Festival, the domestic acrylonitrile market bottomed out and showed a slight rebound in some regions, mainly<\/p>","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":10407,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[646,645,650],"tags":[676,675],"class_list":["post-10403","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-china","category-china-japan-south-korea","category-south-asia-area-news","tag-boosted-by-cost-factors","tag-escalating-geopolitical-risks-in-the-middle-east-have-driven-up-acrylonitrile-prices"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10403","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/56"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10403"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10403\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10407"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10403"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10403"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/abcchem.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10403"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}